SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
27.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
EIB
1 - 0
GER
84%
12%
4%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
GER
2 - 0
MUT
67%
22%
12%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
AUR
1 - 1
GER
66%
22%
12%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
GER
2 - 1
AFT
63%
23%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
BKE
1 - 0
GER
61%
24%
14%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
MUT
0 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
36%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
BAS
2 - 2
AFT
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
SNT
1 - 0
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
BAS
3 - 0
RUN
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
DEU
0 - 1
BAS
42%
28%
31%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |