SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
BKE
2 - 0
GER
50%
27%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
GER
3 - 2
CDM
53%
26%
21%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
SFC
2 - 0
GER
61%
23%
16%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
TOL
2 - 1
GER
47%
29%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
GER
2 - 0
CDT
50%
27%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
BAS
3 - 1
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
SDA
2 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 0
AFT
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
BAS
3 - 1
CDG
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
BFC
1 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |