SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
CDG
4 - 0
GER
61%
25%
14%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
GER
0 - 0
BAR
29%
30%
42%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
SSC
2 - 0
GER
76%
18%
7%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
CDO
2 - 0
GER
74%
19%
7%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
GER
1 - 1
ATH
45%
29%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 2
ATH
44%
29%
28%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ARO
4 - 0
BAS
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -3 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAU
66%
23%
11%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
RCF
2 - 1
BAS
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 0
GIM
68%
21%
11%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |