SD Gernika vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GER
1 - 0
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BFC
2 - 2
GER
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GER
2 - 1
BEA
35%
28%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ELG
0 - 0
GER
27%
28%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
GER
3 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
BFC
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BEA
1 - 0
BAR
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
ELG
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 5
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
LAU
59%
24%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |