SD Gernika vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
CDO
2 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
GER
0 - 1
PON
40%
29%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
SPB
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CAU
1 - 2
GER
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
PON
0 - 1
GER
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 1
PON
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 2
BAR
31%
31%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
CEL
1 - 1
BAR
30%
29%
42%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALA
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ATH
0 - 0
BAR
41%
29%
31%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |