SD Gernika vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CLU
0 - 0
GER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GER
1 - 0
ZAM
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ALA
1 - 3
GER
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
GER
0 - 2
AUR
36%
29%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALA
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIL
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
AUR
0 - 0
BAR
32%
30%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 0
GIM
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
CEP
2 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |