SD Gernika vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CLU
3 - 3
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
GER
1 - 0
AUR
30%
28%
41%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LEM
0 - 1
GER
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
GER
1 - 2
CUL
29%
29%
42%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
EIB
4 - 0
GER
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
BAR
1 - 0
BEA
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
CLU
1 - 0
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
2 - 0
LOG
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
RUN
0 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |