SD Gernika vs Balmaseda FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BEA
3 - 0
GER
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GER
0 - 1
ELG
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 3
GER
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GER
2 - 0
LAU
32%
29%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 0
GER
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Balmaseda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
POR
4 - 1
BFC
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 2
BEA
28%
27%
45%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ELG
2 - 1
BFC
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BFC
2 - 1
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LAU
4 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |