SD Gernika vs Balmaseda FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
CDM
1 - 1
GER
55%
26%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
GER
3 - 2
DEU
64%
22%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
CDE
6 - 0
GER
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -3 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
GER
4 - 0
SAB
60%
24%
16%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
GER
1 - 0
AUR
59%
25%
17%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Balmaseda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
BFC
2 - 0
AUR
66%
20%
13%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
TAL
2 - 2
BFC
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
BFC
2 - 0
LON
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
EIB
1 - 1
BFC
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
BFC
2 - 1
RUN
56%
24%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |