SD Gernika vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
OSA
1 - 2
GER
45%
28%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
GER
1 - 1
BIN
47%
28%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
BUR
2 - 1
GER
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
GER
1 - 2
GIM
44%
29%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
ZAR
2 - 2
GER
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 1
ALA
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
ATH
0 - 1
NOJ
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
AMU
4 - 2
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATH
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
ATH
4 - 0
ELG
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |