SD Gernika vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
42%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
GER
2 - 1
LEM
44%
30%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
AUR
3 - 0
GER
46%
28%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
GER
1 - 3
TRO
57%
26%
18%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
CUL
2 - 1
GER
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
GER
2 - 2
UBC
45%
29%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
ATH
0 - 0
CLU
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
LEM
0 - 2
ATH
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 0
BIN
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
AUR
1 - 1
ATH
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 1
BUR
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |