SD Gernika vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
GER
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GER
2 - 0
ARE
52%
27%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LON
0 - 2
GER
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GER
0 - 1
CDU
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 3
GER
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
AMU
0 - 1
BFC
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
RET
1 - 2
AMU
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AMU
0 - 1
OIA
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
AMU
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
AMU
2 - 1
CDF
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |