SD Gernika vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BEA
3 - 2
GER
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GER
1 - 4
EIB
53%
27%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ALA
0 - 0
GER
32%
29%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GER
3 - 2
TOL
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
UDS
2 - 4
GER
24%
28%
48%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
AMU
1 - 0
ZAM
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LON
2 - 2
AMU
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
AMU
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CDU
1 - 1
AMU
28%
28%
44%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
AMU
4 - 0
SDA
44%
28%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |