SD Gernika vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
FIG
2 - 2
GER
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
GER
0 - 0
ATH
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
OSA
1 - 2
GER
45%
28%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
GER
1 - 1
BIN
47%
28%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
BUR
2 - 1
GER
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
AMU
3 - 1
ALA
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
AUR
2 - 0
AMU
41%
29%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
AMU
1 - 0
GIM
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
UBC
3 - 1
AMU
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
AMU
4 - 2
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |