SD Gernika vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
30.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
ELG
2 - 1
GER
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
GER
0 - 0
BEA
25%
29%
46%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
CLH
2 - 0
GER
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
GER
0 - 1
CLU
44%
29%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
ZAM
4 - 0
GER
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
AMU
2 - 1
LEM
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
AUR
1 - 1
AMU
63%
24%
13%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
AMU
1 - 1
TRO
70%
19%
12%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
CUL
2 - 1
AMU
69%
20%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
AMU
2 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |