Gernika U19 vs Leioa U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gernika U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GER
3 - 1
DAN
23%
21%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LAO
4 - 0
GER
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GER
3 - 6
ATH
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
REA
2 - 0
GER
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
ZAR
26%
22%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Leioa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LEI
1 - 0
AMO
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DAN
0 - 2
LEI
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 1
SAN
18%
21%
62%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LAO
4 - 1
LEI
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
3 - 1
REA
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |