Torneo Federal B qualifying rounds 1/16
Global 2-2
Germinal de Rawson vs Jorge Newbery CR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GER
0 - 1
MOR
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
GER
2 - 0
RAC
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 1
GER
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
GER
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
RAC
1 - 2
GER
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAI
3 - 4
JNC
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
JNC
4 - 0
HUR
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
JNC
0 - 0
CAI
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 1
JNC
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
INN
1 - 0
JNC
42%
25%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |