Germania Windeck vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Windeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 1
GEW
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
GEW
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GEW
3 - 2
WHE
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 1
GEW
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GEW
1 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
17%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
VFB
4 - 1
ERK
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 0
VFB
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 3
VFB
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 0
MSV
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 2
VFB
67%
21%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |