Germania Windeck vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Windeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 2
GEW
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GEW
1 - 1
SCH
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 2
GEW
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GEW
1 - 2
HAM
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
1 - 2
GEW
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
KÖL
5 - 1
WAT
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HAM
2 - 0
KÖL
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 2
AAA
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
KÖL
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
ESS
4 - 2
KÖL
12%
21%
67%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |