Gênus vs SC Ulbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CAC
1 - 0
GEN
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
5 - 0
GEN
62%
19%
20%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 1
GEN
66%
17%
16%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
GEN
0 - 2
PIM
68%
17%
14%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 0
SHA
73%
15%
11%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SC Ulbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
ULB
2 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SHA
2 - 6
ULB
20%
24%
57%
|
47 | 10 | 37 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PIM
0 - 1
ULB
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ULB
1 - 1
CAC
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
ULB
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -2 |