Genoa vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 0
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAR
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
SLP
0 - 0
GEN
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 0
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 1
GEN
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 3
RMA
46%
24%
30%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ATH
1 - 2
VCF
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
VCF
3 - 1
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
VCF
1 - 1
MLL
62%
20%
18%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
OSA
1 - 3
VCF
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |