Genoa vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
20.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
24.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
GEN
0 - 0
TAR
68%
22%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
50%
29%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 1
CES
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
LAZ
3 - 0
GEN
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEN
41%
33%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
SSS
0 - 2
BAR
43%
34%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSS
39%
35%
26%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
SSS
3 - 1
MOD
49%
31%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 2
BOL
41%
35%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |