Genoa vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 2
GEN
44%
32%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
56%
28%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
GEN
42%
32%
26%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAT
57%
26%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
GEN
46%
31%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
SSS
4 - 1
PAL
43%
32%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
ASC
0 - 0
SSS
68%
22%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
39%
34%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
SSS
55%
29%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |