Genoa vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRG
55%
27%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 1
GEN
51%
29%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 1
USA
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
USF
1 - 0
GEN
59%
26%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 0
TAR
48%
31%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
VER
4 - 2
SSS
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
FCC
0 - 0
SSS
56%
27%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
SSS
1 - 0
PAL
38%
33%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 1
SSS
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |