Genoa vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
62%
19%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
JUV
2 - 1
GEN
70%
16%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
GEN
3 - 2
LIV
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 1
GEN
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 4
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1949 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
90%
7%
4%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 1
FIO
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAM
27%
24%
50%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
SAM
0 - 4
INT
55%
20%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |