Genoa vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
SAL
4 - 1
GEN
30%
23%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
GEN
3 - 1
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
MOD
3 - 2
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
GEN
3 - 0
USA
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
ACM
2 - 0
GEN
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
SAM
6 - 1
VIC
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
BOL
1 - 0
SAM
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
SAM
1 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
SAM
1 - 4
INT
44%
23%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
PRO
1 - 0
SAM
39%
23%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |