Genoa vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 1
GEN
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
GEN
3 - 0
BOL
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
INT
2 - 1
GEN
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
GEN
2 - 1
VNZ
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
BOL
2 - 0
SAM
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
SAM
3 - 1
TOR
23%
22%
55%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
FIO
2 - 1
SAM
56%
19%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |