Genoa vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
GEN
4 - 2
ABN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
VNZ
2 - 2
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
ASC
0 - 1
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GEN
2 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TER
1 - 0
GEN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 0
PES
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PES
2 - 1
TOR
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
PES
0 - 0
FIO
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
PES
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |