Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
VNZ
0 - 0
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 0
GEN
82%
12%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 0
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1963 |
BEO
2 - 0
NAP
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
NAP
2 - 0
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
NAP
3 - 3
ROM
36%
25%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
NAP
2 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |