Genoa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
TOR
3 - 0
GEN
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAP
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
UDI
2 - 2
GEN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 3
JUV
11%
21%
68%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 3
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
CAG
0 - 0
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 1
LAZ
12%
21%
68%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
SAS
4 - 2
LEC
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAM
25%
24%
52%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |