Genoa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
MPL
2 - 0
GEN
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASA
91%
7%
2%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 0
GEN
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 1
GEN
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 3
ZEN
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
FER
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LEC
5 - 0
SFF
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
PAD
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEC
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MON
4 - 1
LEC
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |