Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
TOR
1 - 3
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 2
INT
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 2
FIO
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
TOR
4 - 4
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 2
LAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
USA
2 - 0
LAZ
50%
21%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |