Genoa vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
GEN
3 - 0
VER
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
SAS
5 - 0
GEN
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 3
INT
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 0
CRO
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 0
FRO
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 5
CRO
15%
24%
60%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 0
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |