Genoa vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
18%
20%
62%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 1
GEN
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 2
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 3
NAP
11%
18%
71%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
CRO
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 1
GEN
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BOL
2 - 3
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CRO
2 - 1
FIO
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 0
CRO
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |