Genoa vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TER
0 - 1
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASC
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CAT
1 - 3
GEN
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
TRI
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ABN
0 - 3
GEN
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 2
VER
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 1
CRO
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
ASC
0 - 2
CRO
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 2
TER
33%
26%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |