Genoa vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 1
GEN
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 0
VER
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LAZ
0 - 2
GEN
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
SAS
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAS
2 - 0
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
BOL
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |