Genoa vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 1
GEN
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 2
FRO
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
TRE
2 - 3
GEN
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
GEN
0 - 1
EMP
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 1
JUV
15%
23%
63%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
RIM
43%
29%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 3
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |