Genoa vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
NAP
1 - 3
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
GEN
3 - 2
RAV
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
TRE
1 - 1
GEN
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
FCS
0 - 2
GEN
21%
25%
55%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
GEN
2 - 2
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
CRO
4 - 2
ANC
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAT
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 0
ANC
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 2
PAL
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
2 - 2
ANC
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |