Genoa vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
AVE
3 - 3
GEN
18%
28%
54%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
SAL
3 - 1
GEN
27%
29%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAL
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
BRE
2 - 0
GEN
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
CHI
1 - 0
ANC
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
ANC
1 - 2
VNZ
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
ANC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
BRE
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
PES
0 - 3
ANC
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |