Genoa vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
LAZ
1 - 1
GEN
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
GEN
2 - 2
JUV
28%
28%
43%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
GEN
0 - 0
ROM
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 1
GEN
58%
25%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
GEN
5 - 1
ANC
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
ANC
1 - 1
NAP
17%
26%
58%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
FIO
7 - 1
ANC
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
ANC
2 - 3
SAM
19%
28%
53%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
TOR
4 - 1
ANC
74%
18%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
GEN
5 - 1
ANC
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |