Genoa vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GEN
4 - 0
SCH
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
SAV
0 - 8
GEN
7%
17%
76%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 1
GEN
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
HOF
2 - 3
GEN
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ROM
3 - 2
GEN
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CES
2 - 1
SSS
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
CES
0 - 0
VER
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 2
CES
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CES
0 - 1
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 3
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |