Genoa vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 0
GEN
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
13%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
49%
30%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 1
GEN
41%
30%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
CES
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 0
CES
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
46%
27%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |