Genoa U19 vs Parma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
7º
1º
61
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 4
GEN
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 1
GEN
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 1
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 2
GEN
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 3
GEN
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
CIT
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAR
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
PAR
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
PUB
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |