Genoa U19 vs Parma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 1
GEN
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 3
GRO
77%
16%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 2
GEN
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 3
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 0
GEN
16%
23%
61%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -3 |
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
JUV
6 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 4
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 3
PAR
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
EMP
34%
28%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |