Genoa U19 vs Cittadella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
7º
1º
28
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ABL
0 - 3
GEN
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 0
GEN
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MIL
4 - 2
GEN
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Cittadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CIT
3 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 0
CIT
57%
21%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
CIT
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CIT
0 - 1
VIR
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 0
CIT
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |