Genoa U18 vs Hellas Verona U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
15º
5º
25
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 3
GEN
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAG
66%
18%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 2
GEN
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 0
HEL
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 5
ASR
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 0
HEL
60%
19%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 3
BOL
36%
21%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
EMP
3 - 1
HEL
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |