Genoa U18 vs Torino U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
31.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
15º
5º
34
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 4
GEN
42%
21%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 1
ASR
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ATA
4 - 2
GEN
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 5
BOL
35%
21%
43%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EMP
4 - 2
GEN
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Torino U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 4
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ASR
3 - 2
TOR
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATA
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
TOR
40%
21%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATA
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |