Genoa U18 vs Lecce U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
9º
5º
42
1º
7º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
GEN
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 1
BOL
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 0
GEN
43%
22%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 4
LAZ
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 3
GEN
61%
19%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 0
FIO
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CES
2 - 5
LEC
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
SAM
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ASR
2 - 1
LEC
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
EMP
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |