Genoa U18 vs Cesena U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
45.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
9º
5º
38
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 3
GEN
22%
20%
59%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 3
ASR
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
4 - 0
EMP
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
GEN
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 0
NAP
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CES
2 - 1
FIO
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CES
1 - 0
SAM
82%
12%
7%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ASR
3 - 2
CES
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CES
0 - 1
EMP
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
CES
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |