Genoa U18 vs Cagliari U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
15º
5º
50
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 2
GEN
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 1
INT
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LAZ
2 - 2
GEN
41%
22%
38%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
CAG
5 - 3
TOR
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAG
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 2
ASR
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 2
CAG
65%
18%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 1
BOL
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |